Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 8950
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31 Today
DL 8950 · YOW → HPN
departs 11:01 PM EDT · arrives 12:19 AM ET
Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 1h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at HPN more than 15 minutes late?
14%
chance · ±0 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
14%
Leave 15+ late
15%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
7.0d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HPN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Leave YOW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Arrive at HPN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 100%
How late will it get to HPN?
On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at YOW
↑
This route's recent record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at HPN
↓
Arrivals into HPN at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
YOW (origin)
Gusts — Ceiling — Visibility — Precip —
HPN (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.