DL 8952 · BNA → TPA

departs 4:55 PM CT · arrives 7:49 PM ET

Your aircraft is N701DH (A21N).

Forecast issued Sat 5:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?

50% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to TPA?

On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 4pm departures from BNA are often late

↑ Arrivals into TPA at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ DL's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BNA

Weather at each end

BNA (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling8,667 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

TPA (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling4,000 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 8952 · BNA → TPA

Odds over time

How late will it get to TPA?