Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 8957
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31 Today
DL 8957 · DAL → SAT
departs 11:31 PM CT · arrives 12:42 AM CT
Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 2h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at SAT more than 15 minutes late?
13%
chance · ±0 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
13%
Leave 15+ late
19%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
7.0d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SAT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Leave DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Arrive at SAT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 100%
How late will it get to SAT?
On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into SAT at that hour are often late
↑
This route's recent record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DAL
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DAL (origin)
Gusts 5 kt Ceiling 3,400 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
SAT (destination)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling 100 ft Visibility 0.25 mi Precip 0.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.