Tracked live by the FAA. The scheduled times shown are from a typical Saturday because the FAA's flight plan was first seen after takeoff.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 929 SCHEDULED

Saturday, October 31 Today

DL 929 · PHX → ATL

departs 11:50 PM MT · arrives 5:29 AM ET

Forecast issued Sat 3:00 AM ET · 24h before departure

Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?

34% chance · ±4 pts +10 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ATL?

On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 1 mi forecast at PHX that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Other factors

↓ DL's recent on-time record

↓ 11pm departures from PHX are usually not late

Weather at each end

PHX (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility1 mi Precip0.34 in

ATL (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 929 · PHX → ATL

Odds over time

How late will it get to ATL?