Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 938 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 31 Tomorrow

DL 938 · LAX → JFK

departs 3:23 PM PT · arrives 11:31 PM ET

Forecast issued Fri 11:00 AM ET · 31h before departure

Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?

17% chance · ±0 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to JFK?

On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 3pm departures from LAX are often late

↑ Arrivals into JFK at that hour are often late

↑ LAX is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK

↓ DL's recent on-time record

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.16 in

JFK (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 938 · LAX → JFK

Odds over time

How late will it get to JFK?