Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 978 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 31 Today

DL 978 · DTW → BUF

departs 9:35 PM ET · arrives 10:45 PM ET

Forecast issued Sat 1:00 AM ET · 21h before departure

Arrive at BUF more than 15 minutes late?

13% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BUF?

On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ This flight has been late 25% of the time recently

↑ 9pm departures from DTW are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DTW

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BUF

Weather at each end

DTW (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

BUF (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 978 · DTW → BUF

Odds over time

How late will it get to BUF?