DL 9965 · JFK → ATL

left the gate 7:48 PM ET · taxiing (scheduled 6:57 PM ET → 9:21 PM ET)

Your aircraft is N801NW (A333).

Forecast issued Sat 7:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?

88% chance · ±0 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to ATL?

On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 6pm departures from JFK are often late

↑ JFK is prone to delays

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL

Weather at each end

JFK (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ATL (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling10,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 9965 · JFK → ATL

Odds over time

How late will it get to ATL?