Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
GOJET · FLIGHT G7 4507
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31
G7 4507 · IAH → XNA
departs 8:09 PM CT · arrives 10:07 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 4:00 AM ET · 65h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 20%
Fri 10/30 17%
Sat 10/31
Odds over time
Arrive at XNA more than 15 minutes late?
27%
chance · ±6 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
27%
Leave 15+ late
19%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.9d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at XNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed – in 24h
–
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Leave IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed – in 24h
–
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Arrive at XNA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to XNA?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
8pm departures from IAH are often late
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 1 mi forecast at XNA that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Other factors
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
IAH (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 1,400 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.02 in
XNA (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 0.13 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.