Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3740
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31 Tomorrow
MQ 3740 · DFW → ICT
departs 4:18 PM CT · arrives 5:43 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 8:00 AM ET · 33h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at ICT more than 15 minutes late?
23%
chance · ±2 pts
−14 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
23%
Leave 15+ late
19%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ICT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed −14 pts in 24h
−14 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −16 pts in 24h
−16 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Arrive at ICT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ICT?
On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
4pm departures from DFW are often late
↑
DFW is busy at that time
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at DFW that day
↓
ICT usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip none
ICT (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.03 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.