Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3350
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31
OO 3350 · SAN → STS
departs 5:51 PM PT · arrives 7:47 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 11:00 PM ET · 70h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 28%
Fri 10/30 25%
Sat 10/31
Sun 11/1 31%
Mon 11/2 27%
Tue 11/3 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at STS more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±3 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
19%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.9d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at STS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed – in 24h
–
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave SAN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed – in 24h
–
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Arrive at STS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to STS?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
5pm departures from SAN are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
STS is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SAN
↓
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at STS that day
Weather at each end
SAN (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 4,300 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
STS (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.