Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3422
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31
OO 3422 · SEA → IDA
departs 8:09 PM PT · arrives 11:06 PM MT
Forecast issued Thu 5:00 AM ET · 66h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 25%
Fri 10/30 22%
Sat 10/31
Sun 11/1 24%
Mon 11/2 22%
Tue 11/3 22%
Wed 11/4 23%
Odds over time
Arrive at IDA more than 15 minutes late?
18%
chance · ±3 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
18%
Leave 15+ late
18%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
7.0d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at IDA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed – in 24h
–
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Leave SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed – in 24h
–
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Arrive at IDA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to IDA?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
8pm departures from SEA are often late
↑
This flight has been late 24% of the time recently
↑
SEA is busy at that time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SEA
↓
IDA usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
SEA (origin)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling 10,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
IDA (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 0.06 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.