Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3929
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31 Tomorrow
OO 3929 · LAX → RNO
departs 9:59 PM PT · arrives 11:28 PM PT
Forecast issued Fri 11:00 AM ET · 38h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 22%
Sat 10/31
Sun 11/1 24%
Mon 11/2 22%
Tue 11/3 14%
Wed 11/4 14%
Thu 11/5 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at RNO more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±3 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
7.0d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Arrive at RNO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at RNO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to RNO?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 1,400 ft, visibility down to 0.9 mi forecast at RNO that day
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX
↑
LAX is busy at that time
↓
This flight has been late 12% of the time recently
↓
OO's recent on-time record
Weather at each end
LAX (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.16 in
RNO (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 1,400 ft Visibility 0.9 mi Precip 0.22 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.