Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4047
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31
OO 4047 · SEA → RDM
departs 9:35 PM PT · arrives 10:57 PM PT
Forecast issued Thu 6:00 AM ET · 67h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 18%
Fri 10/30 18%
Sat 10/31
Sun 11/1 21%
Mon 11/2 18%
Tue 11/3 17%
Wed 11/4 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at RDM more than 15 minutes late?
13%
chance · ±1 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
13%
Leave 15+ late
16%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
7.0d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at RDM more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed – in 24h
–
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Leave SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed – in 24h
–
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Arrive at RDM more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to RDM?
On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 800 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at RDM that day
↑
SEA is busy at that time
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SEA
↓
This flight has been late 10% of the time recently
Weather at each end
SEA (origin)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling 10,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
RDM (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.