Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4932
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31
OO 4932 · DFW → CID
departs 9:22 PM CT · arrives 11:31 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 4:00 AM ET · 66h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 36%
Fri 10/30 30%
Sat 10/31
Sun 11/1 38%
Mon 11/2 30%
Tue 11/3 22%
Wed 11/4 31%
Odds over time
Arrive at CID more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±2 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
38%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.9d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CID more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed – in 24h
–
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed – in 24h
–
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Arrive at CID more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to CID?
On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
9pm departures from DFW are often late
↑
This flight has been late 23% of the time recently
↑
Arrivals into CID at that hour are often late
↓
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at DFW that day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at CID
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.08 in
CID (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 4,100 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.20 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.