Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4943
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31
OO 4943 · DFW → SGF
departs 4:43 PM CT · arrives 6:15 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 8:00 PM ET · 70h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at SGF more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±3 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
22%
Cancelled
4%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.7d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SGF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed – in 24h
–
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed – in 24h
–
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at SGF more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to SGF?
On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
16%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
4pm departures from DFW are often late
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at DFW that day
↑
DFW is busy at that time
↓
SGF usually runs smoothly
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.10 in
SGF (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 1,000 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.05 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.