Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5064
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31
OO 5064 · ORD → DEC
departs 5:34 PM CT · arrives 6:38 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 8:00 PM ET · 71h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 26%
Thu 10/29 25%
Fri 10/30 23%
Sat 10/31
Odds over time
Arrive at DEC more than 15 minutes late?
38%
chance · ±5 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
38%
Leave 15+ late
34%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DEC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed – in 24h
–
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed – in 24h
–
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Arrive at DEC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed – in 24h
–
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DEC?
On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
5pm departures from ORD are often late
↑
This flight has been late 38% of the time recently
↑
ORD is busy at that time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DEC
↓
DEC usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.28 in
DEC (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 8,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.