Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5314
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31
OO 5314 · ORD → LNK
departs 7:51 PM CT · arrives 9:59 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 11:00 PM ET · 70h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 37%
Fri 10/30 49%
Sat 10/31
Sun 11/1 37%
Mon 11/2 27%
Tue 11/3 37%
Odds over time
Arrive at LNK more than 15 minutes late?
44%
chance · ±6 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
44%
Leave 15+ late
38%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LNK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed – in 24h
–
44%
Yes 44%
No 56%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed – in 24h
–
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Arrive at LNK more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed – in 24h
–
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to LNK?
On time or early
55%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
7pm departures from ORD are often late
↑
This flight has been late 39% of the time recently
↑
ORD is busy at that time
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.16 in
LNK (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.10 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.