Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5362
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31
OO 5362 · FNT → ORD
departs 6:35 PM ET · arrives 6:54 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 8:00 PM ET · 71h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 30%
Thu 10/29 37%
Fri 10/30 28%
Sat 10/31
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
50%
chance · ±10 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
50%
Leave 15+ late
32%
Arrive 1h+ late
19%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.8d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed – in 24h
–
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Leave FNT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed – in 24h
–
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed – in 24h
–
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
49%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late
↑
0.3 in of rain forecast at ORD that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at FNT
↓
FNT is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
FNT (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
ORD (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.28 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.