Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5370
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31
OO 5370 · SFO → ACV
departs 6:35 PM PT · arrives 7:56 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 11:00 PM ET · 71h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at ACV more than 15 minutes late?
21%
chance · ±5 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
21%
Leave 15+ late
19%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
4%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.9d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ACV more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed – in 24h
–
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Leave SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed – in 24h
–
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Arrive at ACV more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed – in 24h
–
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed – in 24h
–
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to ACV?
On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
6pm departures from SFO are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
SFO is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO
↓
Arrivals into ACV at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
SFO (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 4,900 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
ACV (destination)
Gusts 5 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.