Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5450
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31
OO 5450 · LIT → IAH
departs 5:22 PM CT · arrives 6:59 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 8:00 PM ET · 70h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 28%
Thu 10/29 19%
Fri 10/30 15%
Sat 10/31
Sun 11/1 24%
Mon 11/2 27%
Tue 11/3 33%
Odds over time
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±3 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
20%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.8d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed – in 24h
–
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave LIT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed – in 24h
–
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Arrive at IAH more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed – in 24h
–
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to IAH?
On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into IAH at that hour are often late
↑
This flight has been late 27% of the time recently
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 1 mi forecast at LIT that day
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
LIT (origin)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 0.16 in
IAH (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 3,600 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.08 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.