OO 5591 · ORF → ORD

departs 6:07 AM ET · arrives 7:31 AM CT

Forecast issued Sat 2:00 AM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to ORD?

On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late

↑ ORD is busy at that time

↑ This flight has been late 19% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Gusts to 27 kt forecast at ORF that day

Weather at each end

ORF (origin) Gusts27 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ORD (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.03 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5591 · ORF → ORD

Odds over time

How late will it get to ORD?