Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5635
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31 Tomorrow
OO 5635 · ORD → MBS
departs 9:29 PM CT · arrives 11:44 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 3:00 AM ET · 44h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 31%
Sat 10/31
Sun 11/1 46%
Mon 11/2 24%
Tue 11/3 33%
Wed 11/4 37%
Thu 11/5 31%
Odds over time
Arrive at MBS more than 15 minutes late?
36%
chance · ±2 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
36%
Leave 15+ late
34%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MBS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
36%
Yes 36%
No 64%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Arrive at MBS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MBS?
On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
9pm departures from ORD are often late
↑
This flight has been late 31% of the time recently
↑
ORD is busy at that time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MBS
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.11 in
MBS (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.