Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5986
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31
OO 5986 · SFO → SUN
departs 6:55 PM PT · arrives 9:51 PM MT
Forecast issued Thu 4:00 AM ET · 66h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 24%
Fri 10/30 23%
Sat 10/31
Odds over time
Arrive at SUN more than 15 minutes late?
24%
chance · ±4 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
24%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.9d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SUN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed – in 24h
–
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Leave SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed – in 24h
–
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at SUN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to SUN?
On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
6pm departures from SFO are often late
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at SUN
↑
SFO is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO
↓
SUN usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
SFO (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 4,300 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
SUN (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 1,700 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.11 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.