Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6208
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31
OO 6208 · PHX → MAF
departs 8:12 PM MT · arrives 12:05 AM CT
Forecast issued Thu 4:00 AM ET · 67h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 44%
Fri 10/30 46%
Sat 10/31
Sun 11/1 33%
Mon 11/2 31%
Tue 11/3 27%
Wed 11/4 25%
Odds over time
Arrive at MAF more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±2 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
37%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
7.0d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MAF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed – in 24h
–
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed – in 24h
–
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Arrive at MAF more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to MAF?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX
↑
This flight has been late 21% of the time recently
↑
Arrivals into MAF at that hour are often late
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
OO's recent on-time record
Weather at each end
PHX (origin)
Gusts 10 kt
Ceiling 4,800 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.13 in
MAF (destination)
Gusts 10 kt
Ceiling 300 ft
Visibility 4 mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.