Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6228
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31
OO 6228 · ORD → FWA
departs 10:06 PM CT · arrives 12:13 AM ET
Forecast issued Thu 5:00 AM ET · 66h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 28%
Fri 10/30 33%
Sat 10/31
Sun 11/1 32%
Mon 11/2 21%
Tue 11/3 24%
Wed 11/4 29%
Odds over time
Arrive at FWA more than 15 minutes late?
34%
chance · ±1 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
34%
Leave 15+ late
32%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
7.0d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at FWA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed – in 24h
–
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed – in 24h
–
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Arrive at FWA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed – in 24h
–
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to FWA?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
10pm departures from ORD are often late
↑
This flight has been late 41% of the time recently
↑
ORD is busy at that time
↓
FWA usually runs smoothly
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at FWA
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.16 in
FWA (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.