Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6251
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31
OO 6251 · DFW → SHV
departs 10:11 PM CT · arrives 11:21 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 5:00 AM ET · 66h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 25%
Fri 10/30 25%
Sat 10/31
Sun 11/1 27%
Mon 11/2 25%
Tue 11/3 18%
Wed 11/4 28%
Odds over time
Arrive at SHV more than 15 minutes late?
24%
chance · ±6 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
24%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
15%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
7.0d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SHV more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed – in 24h
–
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed – in 24h
–
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at SHV more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed – in 24h
–
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to SHV?
On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
10pm departures from DFW are often late
↑
This flight has been late 25% of the time recently
↑
DFW is busy at that time
↓
SHV usually runs smoothly
↓
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at DFW that day
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.08 in
SHV (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.03 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.