Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6459
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31
OO 6459 · ORD → MCI
departs 5:06 PM CT · arrives 6:40 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 8:00 PM ET · 70h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 31%
Thu 10/29 37%
Fri 10/30 23%
Sat 10/31
Sun 11/1 35%
Mon 11/2 36%
Tue 11/3 34%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±2 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
46%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed – in 24h
–
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed – in 24h
–
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at MCI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed – in 24h
–
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to MCI?
On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
5pm departures from ORD are often late
↑
This flight has been late 25% of the time recently
↑
ORD is busy at that time
↓
MCI usually runs smoothly
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.28 in
MCI (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 2,600 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.