Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

PORTER · FLIGHT PD 2124 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, October 31 Today

PD 2124 · EWR → YTZ

departs 9:53 AM ET · arrives 11:03 AM EDT

Your aircraft is CGLQE (DH8D), coming in as PD 2143 from YTZ: landed 8:24 PM ET.

Forecast issued Sat 4:00 AM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at YTZ more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ EWR is busy at that time

↑ This route's recent record

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at EWR

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at YTZ

Weather at each end

EWR (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

YTZ (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

PD 2124 · EWR → YTZ

Odds over time