Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

PORTER · FLIGHT PD 2616 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, October 31 Today

PD 2616 · BOS → YYZ

departs 10:02 AM ET · arrives 11:49 AM EDT

Your aircraft is CGKQG (DH8D).

Forecast issued Sat 4:00 AM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at YYZ more than 15 minutes late?

9% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ 10am departures from BOS are often late

↑ BOS is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BOS

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at YYZ

Weather at each end

BOS (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

YYZ (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

PD 2616 · BOS → YYZ

Odds over time