Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1126 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 31

UA 1126 · DEN → FAR

departs 5:59 PM MT · arrives 8:56 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 4:00 PM ET · 52h before departure

Arrive at FAR more than 15 minutes late?

16% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to FAR?

On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 5pm departures from DEN are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ This flight has been late 24% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

↓ FAR usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility9 mi Precipnone

FAR (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling1,400 ft Visibility4 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1126 · DEN → FAR

Odds over time

How late will it get to FAR?