UA 1460 · EWR → SJU

took off 7:08 AM ET · expected to land 10:18 AM AT (scheduled 7:01 AM ET → 10:55 AM AT)

Forecast issued Sat 8:00 AM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at SJU more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to SJU?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ SJU is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at EWR

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

EWR (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SJU (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling8,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.09 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1460 · EWR → SJU

Odds over time

How late will it get to SJU?