tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1461 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

UA 1461 · IAH → SAL

departs 6:46 PM CT · arrives 8:48 PM CST
Forecast issued Thu 4:00 PM ET · 52h before departure
Arrive at SAL more than 15 minutes late?
30% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 6.8d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to SAL?

  1. On time or early
    69%
  2. 15–30 min late
    9%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    12%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    5%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    3%
  6. Cancelled
    1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.