Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1561SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
UA 1561 · SFO → SAN
departs 4:47 PM PT · arrives 6:39 PM PT
Forecast issued Thu 4:00 PM ET · 52h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?
41%chance · ±2 pts– · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to SAN?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.