tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1564 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

UA 1564 · ORD → SAN

departs 8:17 PM CT · arrives 10:45 PM PT
Forecast issued Thu 6:00 PM ET · 51h before departure
Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?
53% chance · ±5 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 6.9d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to SAN?

  1. On time or early
    46%
  2. 15–30 min late
    27%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    7%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    16%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    3%
  6. Cancelled
    1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.