tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1685 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

UA 1685 · LIH → SFO

departs 10:44 PM HT · arrives 5:56 AM PT
Forecast issued Thu 9:00 PM ET · 56h before departure
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
10% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 7.2d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to SFO?

  1. On time or early
    90%
  2. 15–30 min late
    3%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    2%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    2%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    3%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.