Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1839SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
UA 1839 · ORD → DSM
departs 7:53 PM CT · arrives 9:17 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 47h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at DSM more than 15 minutes late?
37%chance · ±5 pts+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to DSM?
On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.