Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1897 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 31

UA 1897 · ORD → BNA

departs 3:46 PM CT · arrives 5:24 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 3:00 AM ET · 62h before departure

Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?

42% chance · ±3 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BNA?

On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 3pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ This flight has been late 34% of the time recently

↑ Arrivals into BNA at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BNA

↓ BNA usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.16 in

BNA (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling6,167 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1897 · ORD → BNA

Odds over time

How late will it get to BNA?