Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1949 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 31

UA 1949 · IAH → DFW

departs 8:15 PM CT · arrives 9:38 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 8:00 PM ET · 49h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

41% chance · ±6 pts +8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↑ 8pm departures from IAH are often late

↑ This flight has been late 28% of the time recently

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.11 in

DFW (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceiling1,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.11 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1949 · IAH → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?