Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 2006 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 31

UA 2006 · ORD → GUA

departs 9:24 AM CT · arrives 12:40 PM CST

Forecast issued Wed 3:00 PM ET · 67h before departure

Arrive at GUA more than 15 minutes late?

36% chance · ±3 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to GUA?

On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 9am departures from ORD are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↑ ORD is busy at that time

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into GUA at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.25 in

GUA (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2006 · ORD → GUA

Odds over time

How late will it get to GUA?