Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 2132 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 31 Tomorrow

UA 2132 · DEN → SMF

departs 7:37 PM MT · arrives 9:12 PM PT

Forecast issued Fri 12:00 PM ET · 34h before departure

Arrive at SMF more than 15 minutes late?

27% chance · ±6 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SMF?

On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 7pm departures from DEN are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↓ Cloud base down to 900 ft forecast at DEN that day

↓ DEN usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

SMF (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2132 · DEN → SMF

Odds over time

How late will it get to SMF?