tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 2161 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

UA 2161 · IAH → MSY

departs 8:14 PM CT · arrives 9:41 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 47h before departure
Arrive at MSY more than 15 minutes late?
39% chance · ±3 pts +8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 6.9d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to MSY?

  1. On time or early
    60%
  2. 15–30 min late
    13%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    13%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    10%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    3%
  6. Cancelled
    2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.