Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 2339 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 31

UA 2339 · BNA → IAH

departs 3:02 PM CT · arrives 5:12 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 12:00 AM ET · 64h before departure

Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±3 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to IAH?

On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 3pm departures from BNA are often late

↑ Arrivals into IAH at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 28% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BNA

↓ BNA is quiet at that time

Weather at each end

BNA (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

IAH (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling3,600 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.03 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2339 · BNA → IAH

Odds over time

How late will it get to IAH?