Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 2359 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 31 Tomorrow

UA 2359 · EWR → RDU

departs 8:29 PM ET · arrives 10:25 PM ET

Forecast issued Fri 11:00 AM ET · 34h before departure

Arrive at RDU more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±3 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to RDU?

On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↑ 8pm departures from EWR are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at EWR

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at RDU

Weather at each end

EWR (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

RDU (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2359 · EWR → RDU

Odds over time

How late will it get to RDU?