Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 2610 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 31

UA 2610 · LAX → DEN

departs 6:45 PM PT · arrives 10:15 PM MT

Forecast issued Thu 6:00 PM ET · 52h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±5 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,400 ft forecast at LAX that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 6pm departures from LAX are often late

↓ This flight has been late 10% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling1,400 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.25 in

DEN (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility7 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2610 · LAX → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?