tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 2616 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

UA 2616 · ORD → RDU

departs 10:48 AM CT · arrives 2:01 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 6:00 PM ET · 66h before departure
Arrive at RDU more than 15 minutes late?
28% chance · ±3 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 6.5d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to RDU?

  1. On time or early
    72%
  2. 15–30 min late
    12%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    7%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    6%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    3%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.