UA 2638 · RDU → ORD

took off 6:25 AM ET · landed 7:17 AM CT (scheduled 6:08 AM ET → 7:31 AM CT)

Forecast issued Sat 7:00 AM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±4 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to ORD?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
✓
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ RDU is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at RDU

Weather at each end

RDU (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ORD (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling5,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.03 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2638 · RDU → ORD

Odds over time

How late did it get to ORD?