Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
UNITED · FLIGHT UA 2860SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
UA 2860 · YYZ → ORD
departs 11:01 AM EDT · arrives 11:51 AM CT
Forecast issued Wed 4:00 PM ET · 67h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
37%chance · ±6 pts+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.