Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 371 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 31

UA 371 · LAX → LAS

departs 7:08 PM PT · arrives 8:35 PM PT

Forecast issued Thu 6:00 PM ET · 52h before departure

Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?

44% chance · ±9 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LAS?

On time or early
55%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS

↑ Cloud base down to 1,400 ft forecast at LAX that day

↓ Other factors

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling1,400 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.25 in

LAS (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.06 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 371 · LAX → LAS

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAS?