Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 3753 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 31

UA 3753 · DEN → FOE

departs 12:59 PM MT · arrives 3:55 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 1:00 AM ET · 62h before departure

Arrive at FOE more than 15 minutes late?

11% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to FOE?

On time or early
89%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 12pm departures from DEN are often late

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

↓ Arrivals into FOE at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

FOE (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.02 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 3753 · DEN → FOE

Odds over time

How late will it get to FOE?