Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 3764 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, October 31 Today

UA 3764 · EUG → ORD

departs 12:44 PM PT · arrives 6:10 PM CT

Your aircraft is N57864 (B753).

Forecast issued Sat 2:00 AM ET · 14h before departure

Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?

42% chance · ±4 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 35% of the time recently

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ EUG usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

EUG (origin) Gusts4 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility0.3 mi Precipnone

ORD (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.03 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 3764 · EUG → ORD

Odds over time